Week 14: Scenarios

One week left until playoffs. I can’t say enough about how excited I am for this week to play out, mainly because against all odds I still have a shot at making the big dance. Selfish, I know, but I’ll go into the scenarios in depth for everyone that has a shot. Let’s take a second to break down what’s at stake:

Our byes are locked in, congrats to Dylan and Tyler for being in the money. This week’s results will determine who gets the 1 overall. Matchups matter, as we’re seeing some teams get hot down the stretch.

Emilio has the 3 seed to himself. And he also holds the belt, meaning if he wins this week he brings the belt into the winner’s bracket. No pressure.

Rivals Timmy and Max both can’t do worse than the 5th seed, but again seeding matters.

And finally – myself, Derek, Josh and even Blake will have an all-out war this week to determine who locks up the remaining spot.

It’ll be heated, we may lose friends along the way, but by Monday night we’ll know who is competing for the coveted Chapter Jacket.

The Rankings

ELIMINATED FROM PLAYOFF CONTENTION

10 - Aaron [3-10, RIP] – Week 14 Matchup: Charles

Aaron, it was a great season man. Bad trades, no trades, a lot of laughs, and a lot of losses.

In honor of his relegation to the poop bracket, Aaron has provided me with a few words he’d like to leave you all with.

"Well, I want to thank you very much, Charles. You've been there from the beginning with us, Diesel, and we appreciate it. Nobody can run a league like Chuck Diesel. Thank you very much, Chuck, very much for being here. And his voice has not changed. Pretty amazing.

And a special thank you to Bri 'cause today Chapter is an organization in grief, a league in shock, and a league in mourning. Less than one week ago, our league was robbed of one of the brightest lights of our times, a giant ball sack of his generation, and above all, a devoted husband, future father, son, Christian, terrible trade partner, and cool F150 driver.

Aaron Murcielago was heinously murdered by a radicalized cold-blooded fantasy owner for not trading Jake Ferguson before the deadline. He was violently killed because he spoke for negligence of a roster, for God and country, for reason and for common sense. He was assassinated because he lived bravely, he made decisions boldly, and he argued brilliantly without apology that his guys were all top 10 guys. He did what was right for our league.

And so, on that terrible day, December 1st, 2025, our greatest evangelist for Chapter and trade liberty became immortal. He's a martyr now for terrible team management. I know I speak for everyone here today when I say that none of us will ever forget Aaron Matabueke, and neither now will history."

STILL IN THE HUNT

9 - Blake [4-9, 5% chance to make playoffs, leads all losers in points] – Week 14 Matchup: Emilio

By a narrow margin in week 13, you kept your playoff hopes alive and dropped Josh’s down to a prayer. His kids will forever remember the weekend that dad drank two bottles of Taylors because uncle Blake beat him by 3 points.

At 4-9 you’re only one game back from a playoff spot, but you need a lot to happen. Starting with the seemingly insurmountable feat of beating a surging Emilio who is getting hot right before playoffs. If you can do that, you’ll need both Derek and myself to lose our matchups and you outscore us (couple points, you’re in pretty good shape there). Technically you’d like a Josh loss as well, but as long as you win and outscore him by 12 points you’re good. Maybe church this Sunday is a good idea. Good luck, and God speed.

8 - Derek [5-8, 6.66% chance to make playoffs] – Week 14 Matchup: Dylan

I was mistaken when I said you have a little bit of Nine in you, it’s really a 6.66 percent chance to make playoffs. That has to be lucky right?

For as bad as last week’s loss hurt you, I think your actual odds are better than 6ish percent. Record wise you and I are tied, it’s really the points that will screw you if it comes to it.

You win (against Dylan) – and me, Josh and Blake all go down – you’re in.

You win (again, against Dylan) and I win, outscore me by 44 points and the playoff spot is yours.

You lose, I lose, and Josh or Blake win to tie records with you, you still have to beat their scores by 30-50 points to take the spot.

Let’s see if you can shit talk your way to a playoff spot. Well.. shit talk and start the right lineup for once.

7 - Josh [4-9, 8% chance to make playoffs, 30 point lead on Derek] – Week 14 Matchup: Max

Mid 4th quarter during the Monday night game the Pats got a turnover that put them damn-near in the red zone. At that moment, I thought the fantasy gods were intervening and Henderson was gonna get you that TD. That wasn’t the case though, Hendo didn’t get the tud and you’re now on the outside looking in.

Your points and your matchup may be your saving grace. You’ve scored a decent amount throughout the year, and why shouldn’t you when you’ve traded for and started pretty much everyone in the NFL. You also don’t have to play a Dylan or Tyler, also in your favor.

Your scenario: you win, me and Derek lose, and regardless of his result you need to outscore Blake by 13 points. That’s the way, let’s see if the fantasy gods are with you.

6 – Charles [5-8, 80% chance to make playoffs] – Week 14 Matchup: Aaron

I control my own destiny. Win and make sure I don’t get outscored by Derek by 44 – regardless of his result.

In week five if you told me I’d be on the cusp of the playoffs, controlling my own destiny, I’d call you a fucking liar. But this is fantasy, and crazy shit can happen. Crazy shit can happen the other way as well, like Aaron beating me for his 3rd win on the year. We’ll see how bad the fantasy gods want me to defend my title.

Playoff Teams

5 - Max [6-7, On a 2 Game Slump, Either the 4 or 5 Seed] – Week 14 Matchup: Josh

You’re in! After weeks on the bubble you finally locked up your spot. It doesn’t say so on Sleeper, but if one of the clowns fighting for 6th place outscores you by 100 something points I’ll give you a kidney. This week is a tune up game, regardless of which of you or Timmy get the 4 seed you play each other first week of playoffs. Let the rivalry set in, we have two weeks of shit talk ahead of us.

4 - Timmy [7-6, 4 Week Win Streak, Either the 4 or 5 Seed] – Week 14 Matchup: Tyler

You’re on a roll man, and at the right time no less. Getting hot right before the playoffs is definitely the way you want to do it.

Tyler is going to come at you with everything he has this week in an effort to get the 1 seed. Get the boys fired up if you want to go into the playoffs on a massive win streak, otherwise just keep your old men RBs healthy and head into playoffs feeling good.

3 - Emilio [9-4, Clinched 3 Seed, BELT HOLDER] – Week 14 Matchup: Blake

You’ve clinched the 3 seed, which is huge because it means you get to play whoever gets the 6 seed in this mess of a playoff push. In theory, you have a bye too.

Hold onto the belt is the name of the game. In doing so you’ll kill Blake’s chances at a playoff berth. You’ll never get your mail again, but at least you’ll take the belt into the winner’s bracket.

2 - Tyler [11-2, Clinched a Bye, 20% Chance at 1 Seed] – Week 14 Matchup: Timmy

Locked in brother. Not much on the line unless you want to play the best seed possible throughout the playoffs. Winning and outscoring Dylan by 27ish points will give you the one seed. If Dylan loses and you win you’ll get it regardless. We’ll see you in week 16, get the boys healthy.

1 - Dylan [11-2, Clinched a Bye, 80% Chance at 1 Seed] – Week 14 Matchup: Derek

Beat Derek.

Good luck fellas

Cheers 

Love, your CHAMPION - Charles Yaeger

Notes from the editor- Site updates come out Wednesday or Thursday before the game. Send all your damning pics of your league mates to Charles.